For 47 weeks, few care about Horse Racing. Now, everybody is an expert
by John Furgele (The Galloping 228)
With Kentucky Derby 150 in the books, all horse racing eyes will shift to Pimlico Race Course for Preakness Stakes 149. The venerable old track, awaiting a massive refurbishment, has always been a peculiar race in the Triple Crown series.
In today’s world, horses don’t run back in just two weeks, and Kenny McPeek, the trainer of Derby winner Mystik Dan, said yesterday that his horse might not race in Baltimore on May 18.
If Mystik Dan does indeed skip the Preakness, there will be some outrage. How can the only horse with a chance to win the Triple Crown skip the second leg of said series?
The answer we all know is how horses are handled and trained today. Because most are bred for speed, they’re seen as more fragile than and not as sturdy as the horses of yesteryear. And while that’s likely true, today’s trainers are flat out more conservative. They prefer extended time between starts versus rushing them back too soon.
Gone for sure are the days of what Conquistador Cielo did in 1982. The colt was coming back from injury and missed the Kentucky Derby, so trainer Woody Stephens had to map out a different plan for the son of Mr. Prospector.
He won an allowance race on May 8 at Pimlico and another at Belmont Park on May 19. Twelve days later, Stevens entered him against older horses in the Met Mile at Belmont Park and he won by nine lengths.
After his Met Mile victory, Stephens hinted that he might run him back five days later in the Belmont Stakes. Nobody believed him, but on that Saturday, there he was in the starting gate and two and half minutes later, the colt pulled off that improbable double with a 14 length win in the 1.5 mile race.
In 28 days, the colt raced four times, something that will likely never happen again with top horses. For a horse like Mystik Dan, McPeek knows that if he races him in the Preakness and he comes up flat, it might be tough to “get him back” for the remainder of the 2024 season.
If he (McPeek) really wants to do what’s best for the horse, it would be to skip the Preakness and wait for the Belmont, a five week break between races. This year’s Belmont is at Saratoga, and more importantly, will be contested at 1 ¼ miles rather than the grueling 1.5. This could and should result in a full field for the oldest race in the series.
Why wouldn’t Sierra Leone and Forever Young contest a race that has the same distance as the Derby? People may scoff and say it’s just another ¼ mile, but in horse racing that’s at least 25 more seconds to run and we all saw how badly Mystik Dan needed the wire in the Derby. If that race was a quarter mile longer, Mystik Dan likely fades to at least sixth place.
If Mystik Dan does skip the Preakness there will be lament and that’s a big problem with American society. We tend to worry more about who’s not here than those who are. Rather than focus on the ten to 12 horses that run, we’ll complain about the ones that don’t. That’s the American Way I suppose, but that doesn’t mean it’s a good thing.
Last year’s Preakness was dreadful. Derby winner Mage was the only (Derby) runner who came to Baltimore and that was considered obligatory of course. The field of seven was far from strong, with most experts calling it a glorified allowance race. That said, Mage was beaten and never really heard from again.
The Preakness has to work hard to get quality horses in its race. As mentioned, most trainers prefer to skip it because of the quick turnaround, so officials at Pimlico offer incentives to attract talent.
For example, Seize The Grey, who won the Pat Day Mile on the Derby undercard gets an expenses paid trip and trainer D. Wayne Lukas said that if the horse comes out sound in the days after, he’ll send him to Pimlico.
The biggest curiosity and story will be Muth, trained by eight time Preakness winning Bob Baffert. As we know, Baffert remains barred from running his horses at any Churchill Downs owned tracks, but that’s not the case at Pimlico and Muth will be fresh and ready on May 18.
We’d all like to see Mystik Dan in the Preakness, but let’s be understanding if that doesn’t happen. And for those that say that the Triple Crown races should be spread out more, please, that’s a very tired argument.
Let’s keep things the way they are and let’s celebrate the horses that show up to race, not those that don’t.